Wednesday, October 27, 2010

My Letter to the WSJ re: A Carpenter With Only One Tool

From: patrickbarron@msn.com
To: wsj.ltrs@wsj.com
Subject: Carpenter with only one tool
Date: Wed, 27 Oct 2010 15:51:21 -0400

Re: Fed Gears Up for Stimulus

Dear Sirs:
The Fed is like the carpenter with only one tool, a hammer, who sees every problem as needing a good pounding. The Fed's only tool is the monetary printing press, so it sees every economic problem as a lack of money. According to your report, "The Fed's aim is to drive up the prices of long-term bonds, which in turn would push down long-term interest rates." This statement, which undoubtedly is true, illustrates perfectly the Fed's chief policy error. It has no regard for the role that savings plays in an economy. It is savings that the economy needs in order to rebuild the malinvestment of the lost decade of this new millennium. Savings is the fuel of capital investment. Without savings a modern economy will fail to replenish its capital stock. Ours is being consumed in an orgy of wasted government stimulus spending. Already the poor saver is getting next to nothing for his money, and Bernanke would drive him completely out of the market. If he succeeds, and it seems likely that he will, our economy will resemble that of Argentina in a few years--a once prosperous country driven to default, hyperinflation, widespread poverty, and political tyranny.

Patrick Barron

Friday, October 22, 2010

My Letter to the WSJ re: A Madman Wants to Rebalance the World's Economy

From: patrickbarron@msn.com
To: wsj.ltrs@wsj.com
Subject: A Madman Thinks He Can Rebalance the World's Economy
Date: Fri, 22 Oct 2010 15:40:12 -0400

re: Geithner's Goal: Rebalance the World's Economy

Dear Sirs:
Interviewing Timorthy Geithner must be a frightening experience, for it must soon become apparent that the man is stark raving mad. The very idea that he and his fellow bureaucrats in other countries believe that they can fathom the essence of the world's economy, decide which countries should be allowed to grow and to what extent, decide the statistical measures that would indicate which countries' growth rates are sustainable and which are not is patently preposterous. Countries which adopt capitalism and grant basic political and economic freedoms, most importantly the protection of property rights, will grow much faster than those who adopt less favorable policies. Would Mr. Geithner and his fellow madmen deem these countries to be pariahs and erect trade and capital barriers to prevent them from becoming more prosperous? Apparently the success of a free people would be an embarrassment to big government madmen such as Mr. Geithner; therefore, the rest of the world must mobilize to stop them.


Patrick Barron

Tuesday, October 19, 2010

My Letter to the WSJ re: China Raises Interest Rates

From: patrickbarron@msn.com
To: wsj.ltrs@wsj.com
Subject: Re: China Raises Interest Rates
Date: Tue, 19 Oct 2010 09:23:57 -0400

Re: China Raises Interest Rates

Dear Sirs:
Economic data from China is always suspect. I doubt that China's inflation rate, as measured by its CPI, is below 4% as officially reported. By holding its currency cheap China has subsidized its export industries at the expense of higher prices in the rest of its economy. This classic mercantilist policy was bound to fail. If the Bank of China ceased its currency interventions, there is little doubt that China's interest rates would go much higher, causing a necessary restructuring of China's economy and an end to price and asset inflation. This move is always resisted by powerful interests who have become rich due only to government manipulation of the currency and other interventions. It is the same everywhere in the world. The first nations to abandon mercantilism will reap the gains of capital inflows. It appears that China has learned this lesson.


Patrick Barron

Friday, October 15, 2010

My Letter to the WSJ re: The Myth of Full Employment via Money Expansion

From: patrickbarron@msn.com
To: wsj.ltrs@wsj.com
CC: jon.hilsenrath@wsj.com
Subject: The Myth of Full Employment via Money Expansion
Date: Fri, 15 Oct 2010 10:42:33 -0400

Dear Sirs:
Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke is confused about the money supply, the price level, and the benefits of manipulating both to achieve full employment. In his speech at the "Low-Inflation Environment Conference", he states that it is the Fed's intention to promote price stability and full employment via a two percent general price inflation rate. So, which does he want--price stability or two percent price inflation? And how exactly will either promote full employment? The simple and well-know "rule of 70" reminds us that prices will double in the number of years equal to 70 divided by the inflation rate. So at a two percent price inflation rate, the price level will double in thirty-five years. That is hardly price stability. Plus, the only way the general price level could remain the same in a growing economy is for the money supply to increase in proportion to the increase in production, causing repeated boom/bust business cycles. In a stable money environment prices would fall as production increases, a boon to every level of society. Sixty years ago the great German economist Wilhelm Ropke demolished the fallacy that full employment could be achieved via money expansion. I suggest to your readers his excellent essay on the subject, "The Economics of Full Employment", found in The Critics of Keynesian Economics.

Patrick Barron

Thursday, October 14, 2010

My Letter to the WSJ re: Dollar Slide

From: patrickbarron@msn.com
To: andrewj.johnson@dowjones.com; wsj.ltrs@wsj.com
Subject: Dollar slide caused by stimulus
Date: Thu, 14 Oct 2010 15:39:02 -0400

Dear Mr. Johnson,
You led your article today about the dollar slide with this statement:


"The dollar fell sharply against a range of currencies Thursday as prospects for Asian economic growth contrasted with the likely need for more stimulus in the U.S."

The U.S. does not need more stimulus. It needs more savings. Stimulus merely consumes capital and puts the U.S. further into debt, contributing to the dollar's slide. Let me recommend that you acquaint yourself with the Austrian school of economics. Go to www.mises.org and search on monetary policy to learn how markets really work. As Ludwig von Mise wrote many decades ago, all exchange rates are set in the market by the relative purchasing power of the respective currencies. The dollar's purchasing power is being eroded with the threat--no, let us say "promise"--of further erosions. This threat to the U.S. economy is as serious as it is unnecessary.

Patrick Barron

Thursday, October 7, 2010

The Special Importance of Austrian Economics to Young People

As faculty advisor to the “Students for Austrian Economics” club at the University of Iowa, I was asked to speak to the group about the importance of Austrian economics in the world today and why it is especially important to young people. I was flattered by this request, because I admire the courage of the members of this group who stand against most of what they hear every day about how the world works. But I was also challenged to state clearly something that I had not considered for some time. Although I read Austrian economics almost exclusively, I had not thought much about why I read it—to me it was self-evidently true. Therefore, I found it a challenge to state the case for Austrian economics to members of the club who might not be as devoted to the discipline as I am and who desire to be convinced.

Road Map for Government Policy

First of all, Austrian economics is important to everyone, not just young people, because it provides a road map for government policy. Wrong government policy can destroy nations and entire civilizations. I fear that we are on the path to just such destruction right now. But why I think this does require some basic understanding of just what Austrian economics is.

I prefer the definition of my friend Michael McKay, host of the weekly radio show Radio Free Market. Michael begins each of his shows with the statement that “Austrian economics is 'reality’ economics and reality is not optional”. There are two main elements of Austrian economics that make it real—its placement in the social sciences rather than the natural sciences and its emphasis on micro as opposed to macro analysis. Ludwig von Mises’ last book, The Ultimate Foundation of Economic Science, explained the proper place of economics in the social sciences, relying upon deduction from the rock solid foundation of irrefutable truths. Because we are dealing with man and his preferences, economics is not a natural science with its reliance upon empirical observation to discover natural laws from which to develop mathematical predictions of economic outcomes.

For example, we cannot with any certainty state that the recession will come to an end X number of months after the Fed injects Y amount of money into the system. But that is exactly what other economic disciplines, primarily Keynesianism, purport to be able to do. Austrian economics tells us is that increases in the money supply will debase all money currently in the hands of the public, reducing money’s purchasing power and redistributing the ownership of wealth assets. This is not a theory based upon empirical observation, but an economic truth deduced from irrefutable maxims.

This is important, because so much misguided policy flows from this very basic misunderstanding, and we are witnessing it right now. As Ludwig von Mises stresses in chapter 17 of Human Action, “catallactic precision cannot be applied to historical problems” and that “attempts to measure economic magnitudes are based on entirely fallacious assumptions and display ignorance of the fundamental principles both of economics and of history.” Massive spending and monetary pump priming have not gotten the desired results that the current batch of Keynesian economists desired, so they are poised to engage in an even more radical step called quantitative easing. Quantitative easing just means that since the interest rate cannot be driven any lower than zero, the central bank must simply print money and give it to the government to spend as it pleases. And, since the Keynesians in government believe that economics is a natural science, they will point to their own meaningless statistics to rationalize their actions.

Spending Does Not Equal Prosperity

Nowhere is this dichotomy between Keynesians and Austrians more apparent than in how each school of economic thought would measure economic success. For example, we are constantly told by our government that the recession technically ended last year, because GNP stopped shrinking. Here is the great macro vs. micro approach. Whereas Austrians take the individual as the object of analysis, Keynesians place emphasis on GNP. And they measure GNP by total spending in the economy. Now let’s just look at this for a moment. For the Keynesians spending is the be all and end all. As long as people are spending, then they must be buying something that someone produces. Therefore, Keynesians equate spending with prosperity. If people reduce their spending and increase their savings, GNP will fall. When this happens, government spending must increase to replace private sector slack. Taken a step further, government spending can spur an economy to new heights, if private spending is not positive enough. Now isn’t this a wonderful theory--that government can spend the nation into prosperity? Unfortunately this isn’t working very well.

Austrians would not place any emphasis on total GNP, because spending does not equal prosperity. If a man spends a great deal, we may conclude that he earns a lot or it may just be that he is spending profligately. The latest spending craze in housing is an excellent example. Housing sales skyrocketed for years, but it turns out that many of these sales were to people who really could not afford to purchase them. They lost their homes when the bubble burst, which was a direct result of government making it appear as if more people could afford homes that was actually the case. Spending did increase, for awhile anyway, but it could not be sustained. Reality was not optional, after all.

By contrast the Austrians place all economic analysis on the individual, not society as a whole. The economy is just the aggregation of all individual decisions, so once you understand how individual men act you will understand how to make an economy work better. For example, Austrians place more emphasis on freeing man from the straightjacket of government taxes and regulations that prevent him from freely cooperating with other men in order to achieve his goals. Other men are seeking the same cooperation of him, so their mutual cooperation creates winners all around. Each expects to improve his situation. If we look only at what man spends, we really do not know whether he is creating wealth or consuming it.

Justice, Law, and Inalienable Rights

But Austrian economics is important for much deeper reasons. Whereas all other economic schools of thought are willing to sacrifice some members of society or citizens of other countries for supposed economic gains, Austrian economics emphasizes the importance of law, justice, and God-given inalienable rights that accrue to each and every individual. These are not a hindrance to economic progress but are part and parcel of economic progress. Not only does Austrian economics focuses on the welfare of the individual, it holds the life, liberty, and property of all individuals sacrosanct. Although few today openly call for persecuting minorities, most economic schools of thought denigrate the importance of private property. Some even openly support confiscating the property of the rich for redistribution to the poor. Austrians place property rights as an extension of individual rights, for without property man cannot survive. Thus, Austrian economics promotes not just a higher standard of living but it does so by holding the individual as an inviolate entity whose rights precede those of society and the state. This has further implications for international peace, for Austrian economics asserts that economic science does not end at political borders. The benefits of free exchange can and should extend to the entire world, spreading peace and prosperity instead of war and poverty. At no time since the end of the Second World War have governments expressed such outright hatred of foreigners and attempt to blame them for all economic ills. Even this week our own Secretary of the Treasury Timothy Geithner fanned the flames of international ill will by blaming our current economic woes on the Chinese. This is as preposterous economically as it is dangerous politically. This is a prime example of how an economic theory can lead nations to war—if a government really believes that Chinese economic policies are harmful to us, it will feel justified to protect us. When goods stop crossing borders, armies will. As Ludwig von Mises states in chapter nine of Human Action, it is the autarkic policies of hegemonic states that are the main cause of war.

The Young Can Free Themselves from Entrenched Ideas

We now conclude with why Austrian economics is so important for young people. The current Keynesian system has created an entrenched class who will never admit the limitations of their fervently held ideas, because they benefit from them. The government is a revolving door of Wall Street bankers, environmental activists, union supporters, and others dependent upon government interventions. They will never give up their power and their privileges. Therefore, it is up to a new generation who is not yet tainted by the corruption of government to “stand up for freedom”, as Michael McKay always ends his Radio Free Market show. Austrian economics provides the analytical tools to expose the reality of a corrupt system in which the few gain at the expense of the many. The young have a choice. They can join the corrupt system or they can throw it out. Will they choose peace and prosperity, or will they choose poverty and war?

Wednesday, October 6, 2010

My Letter to the Wall Street Journal re: Geithner Takes Aim at China Policy

Re: Geithner Takes Aim at China Policy

Dear Sirs:
The Geithner speech is nonsense on two levels. Number one, and most importantly, if a country holds its currency cheap, it is subsidizing the living standards of its trading partners. If the Chinese are foolish enough to subsidize our lifestyle--which, by the way, they have been doing for some time now--then why would we desire that they stop? Secondly, the logic of his argument is childish. If we think China's monetary policy is wrong, why are we encouraged to do the same thing? (I can just hear Mrs. Geithner asking her little boy Timothy why he jumped in the mud puddle...and little Timothy telling his mother that he did it because his friend did it.)

No country can force another country to pay its bills or cause another country to have higher unemployment. The most damage that a country can do to another is indirectly--by adopting policies that reduce its contribution to the world economy. For example, the world is worse off because Cuba is a communist country and does not produce goods for the world market.

Patrick Barron

Monday, October 4, 2010

My Letter to National Review re: Acting White

From: patrickbarron@msn.com
To: submissions@nationalreview.com; letters@nationalreview.com
Subject: Letter to National Review--"Moot Causes" needs one more step
Date: Mon, 4 Oct 2010 13:04:59 -0400

Dear Sirs:
A college professor friend of mine says that you need to ask "Why" at least five times to arrive at the root cause of something. Such is the case of "Moot Causes", Roger Clegg's review of Stuart Buck's book Acting White: The Ironic Legacy of Desegregation. Mr. Clegg lays the problem of "black students' rejection of academic achievement" at the high level of out-of-wedlock births--70%!--and the lack of a male role model in the lives of children. This undoubtedly has merit. But what is the cause of all those out-of-wedlock births? I believe the answer is economic regulation and the welfare state. Economic regulation has priced unskilled labor out of the market; there is no "first rung on the ladder" of the job market for many urban poor. But welfare entitlements prevent the outright destitution that would be the result of this market intervention. The result is the deplorable spectacle of multi-generational welfare dependency, crime, and other societal pathologies. End economic regulation AND welfare. Those on welfare will have the job opportunities they need, and, once again, school will be seen as the necessary preparation for a life of work rather than a prison to which one is sent by the truant officer.


Patrick Barron