Monday, January 24, 2022

My letter to the NY Times re: The link between higher prices and the quantity of money

 From: Patrick Barron

Sent: Monday, January 24, 2022 11:38 AMTo: NY Times <letters@nytimes.com>Subject: The quantity theory of money and higher prices
Kudos to the NY Times for finally connecting the dots on higher prices and inflation of the money supply. Questioning whether inflation of the money supply just might contribute to higher prices is like asking whether over eating just might contribute to obesity. But, at least the NY Times is giving credence to the topic. One of the foundations of monetary theory is The Quantity Theory of Money. Most economists no longer claim a direct and immediate link between prices and the money supply, but acknowledge that over time demand for holding the additional supply of money will wane and will work its way into demand for goods and services, resulting in higher prices. Yet there is an equally erroneous concept at work; i.e., that increasing demand for goods via money printing is good for the economy if done in modest tranches. More money does not, somehow, bring more goods out of hiding, so to speak. More money changes the structure of production away from producer goods to consumer goods. It is as if one decided to spend one's retirement savings on current consumption. The mainstream economists would rejoice that spending had increased. But what about one's retirement nest egg? One's future would look rather bleak.
Patrick Barron
20 McMullan Farm Lane
West Chester, PA 19382
Phone: 610-793-3605

Sunday, January 23, 2022

My letter to the NY Times re: Has Boris Gone Too Far This Time?

 Patrick Barron

Sun 1/23/2022 11:03 AM
  •  NY Times
Dear Sirs:
I'm sure that you are right that it is the hypocrisy of Boris' flaunting of the Covid rules, rules that he himself either authored and/or approved, that accounts for his political and public troubles. But may I offer another and possibly complementary perspective; i.e., that neither Boris nor any of the others at his social events really thought that they were at serious health risk. If you really believed that lockdowns, masks, social distancing, etc. would save your life and flouting these rules put you at great risk of contracting a dread disease, would you party hearty anyway? Now, many do believe that they may contract Covid and die, but many of us think that that is very unlikely. Therefore, we weigh what we consider to be the small risk to our health from breaking the Covid rules against leading a normal life. The difference is that, unlike the prime minister and his staff, we face the real threat of fines and perhaps imprisonment if we are caught failing to comply. This adds another layer of disgust to his actions.
Patrick Barron
20 McMullan Farm Lane
West Chester, PA 19382
Phone: 610-793-3605

Monday, January 10, 2022

Eliminating Legal Tender Laws: A First Step to Sound Money and Financial Truth

 

Mention the term "legal tender" in polite company and most people will resemble a deer in the headlights. In simple terms legal tender laws grant monopoly status to money, usually fiat, produced by government; i.e., the government's money is the sole medium of LEGAL exchange in the country. Here in America we buy and sell using dollars. In the United Kingdom, the British Pound is legal tender. In Japan, it is the Yen. You get the idea. It isn't impossible to use monies other than legal tender, but using something else is more akin to private, off the books, barter. For example, perhaps I want to buy my neighbor's used lawn mower. I have some British Pounds left over from my last trip. My neighbor is planning a trip to the UK. He agrees to sell me his used lawn mower for some of my British Pounds. However, if my neighbor owned a store that sold lawnmowers, used or new, he would be forced by legal tender laws to use dollars. The revenue and taxing authorities would insist on it. Now, all this may sound perfectly reasonable, but legal tender laws present a huge opportunity for those who monopolize its production to manipulate the currency, primarily to increase spending. Governments suck resources out of the economy by bypassing the natural constraints of seeking a tax increase, always politically unpopular, or borrowing honestly in the bond market, which will drive up interest rates. Government by the people is thwarted, and the increase in the money supply causes vast harm to the economy.

 

Why Repeal Legal Tender Laws?

 

Naturally, advocates of eliminating legal tender laws have an obligation to convince the public that it's the right thing to do. Why would any nation, especially the US, want to use any medium of exchange other than the dollar?  Simply put, debasing the dollar allows government to steal from the people. The government prints money out of thin air to balance its ever expanding budget. This leads to vast and dire economic consequences, such as higher prices, boom/bust credit cycles, and transfers of wealth from the early receivers of the new money to the later receivers of the new money. This is the Cantillon Effect, as described by Emile Woolf in his latest essay.

 

The Path to a Better Money

 

The next question that the public may ask is what would replace the dollar. The answer is that the dollar would not necessarily be replaced, but it would have to compete for the public's patronage in a free monetary market. It would have to compete not only with other national currencies but also with recently created mediums of exchange, such as Bitcoin and other crypto currencies. In addition, we would expect that commodities such as gold and silver would regain some significant part of the market, especially since these commodities have been used as mediums of exchange for thousands of years until the recent experiments with fiat national currencies protected by legal tender laws.

 

Alasdair Macleod of Goldmoney.com has explained why crypto currencies are not suitable as alternative mediums of exchange, although the distributed ledger technology may have applications in a sound monetary regime. Rather, it is most probable that gold and silver would regain their prominence. There is a reason that the term "gold standard" is still used when describing something that is of the highest quality. There are many advantages to gold as a medium of exchange, but the most important are its universal acceptance by people of every walk of life all over the world, the fact that it cannot be counterfeited, and that it is rare. Gold specie itself could be exchanged by private individuals to satisfy major purchases, but for every day transactions the public would find it advantageous to rely upon a trusted third party to safe keep the gold and make it redeemable upon demand through any of the modern methods of money transfer, such as paper check, paper certificates, and digital means. Of course, the government itself could offer "gold dollars". After all, it claims to have over eight thousand tons of gold in its vaults. But government's track record for issuing more receipts for real money, gold and/or silver, than it has in its vaults probably would preclude it from gaining the public's acceptance. More likely, major banks would issue their own gold backed money. The banks could gain acceptance in the market because they would be subject to ordinary commercial law that describes a "bailment". A bailment is a transaction in which someone takes custody but not ownership of a good for the benefit of another. When we take a suit to the dry cleaners, we have entered a bailment agreement. The dry cleaning establishment does not own our suit. It takes temporary custody of it. Likewise when we check a coat at the theater or restaurant. If the dry cleaning establishment sells our suit or the restaurant gives our coat to another party, we can sue for damages and possibly bring criminal charges. Therefore, one's gold dollar account at a major bank must be legally redeemable in specie upon demand. If the bank does not have the gold, the customer can take it to court on a charge of fraud. Even the bank officials and owners could be charged with a crime. Try doing this with the government!

 

The Consequences

 

Just as a better mousetrap drives less effective ones out of the market, better money will drive out bad money. Privately issued money will gain more acceptance over time as the public learns that it can trust the issuers not to issue more receipts than specie held in reserve. Not so with government money. Once the public's trust has been lost, it will be impossible for government to regain it in the face of honest competition. It is most likely that bank issued fiduciary media (technically the real "money" is gold or silver in its vault) will be used first for transactions among banks, bond merchants, and large companies. But over time the public will learn that modern electronic money transfer methods are just as reliable for retail use. Then we can expect competition by the big banks to spread rather quickly. Eventually, government's fiat money will be abandoned for whatever one can get in, say, gold backed Goldmoney.comDollars, CitibankDollars, BankAmeriDollars, DeutscheMarks, BarclayPounds, or the like.

 

The Necessity of Financial Truth

 

With the government no longer able to print money to satisfy its profligate spending, the reckoning will have arrived. Let us not believe that a reckoning is avoidable. It is not. Nor should we wish it to be. To continue to print money in massive amounts, as the government does now, will lead to a financial and economic collapse. Would we want our doctor to tell us that all is well when his tests say otherwise? Would we want him to recalibrate his thermometer, blood pressure gauges, etc. so that they gave false indications in order that we could continue an unhealthy lifestyle right up to the point of collapse? Of course not. Yet this is a consequence of fiat money; i.e., the true state of the nation's financial and economic health is hidden. On the other hand, sound money reveals the true state of our financial affairs, both private and public, so that we do not unwittingly destroy capital and/or make promises that cannot be met. Furthermore, let us not give false promises that everyone will be spared real hardship in a return to sound money. Those who have relied upon the government to pay their bills will find that not all bills will be paid as in the past.

 

Real statesmanship will be required to cut government spending and explain the reasons to the public. The real villains will not be those who pull the world back from the financial and economic precipice but those who spent us into this mess in the first place--the Keynesian economists, the Modern Monetary Theorists, the Socialists, and especially the feckless politicians who swallowed the impossible siren songs of these charlatans and forced them on the public in order to buy votes by promising the moon. Let us have the courage to demand the truth, no matter how unpalatable it may be. Eliminating legal tender laws will set the wheels of monetary and economic reform in motion.

Sunday, January 9, 2022

My letter to the Wall Street Journal re: The benefit of stimulus checks refuted two hundred years ago

 Re: American's Finances Got Stronger in the Pandemic by Rachel Ensign

Dear Sirs:
Do you really expect your readers to believe that printing money out of thin air and distributing it by helicopter--oh, sorry, it's called "stimulus" money--actually makes American's better off financially? Has no one read Henry Hazlitt's Economics in One Lesson, which is a modern update of Claude Frederic Bastiat's classic two-hundred-year-old exposé of the reality and consequences of government money printing That Which is Seen and That Which is Not Seen? Have none of your reporters heard of Say's Law of Markets? Money is a medium of indirect exchange. Magically producing money out of thin air robs the wealth generating sector of the economy and rewards the wealth consuming sector of the economy. Capital is consumed, ensuring a lower standard of living, if not complete economic collapse, in the future. Please educated yourselves!